Bayes and boots
It occurred to me today that a person’s shoe size is best understood in a Bayesian framework. My shoe size depends on the brand, the metric that’s being used (European, US, UK, Brazilian), and the kind of shoe. The value of my shoe size is not fixed, and we can assign probabilities to how likely it might be for it to be 37 or 38 for a sandal or boot, for instance. I think.
That said, I got new winter boots today and I’m in love with them. Part of me finds this really materialistic and obnoxious, but the other part of me wonders how I managed to make it through without boots for the range between 10 and -10C (as opposed to -10 to -40C).